Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026?
17
1.2kṀ5073
Dec 31
98.7%
1510+
73%
1520+
40%
1530+
27%
1540+
24%
1550+
23%
1560+
22%
1570+
21%
1580+
20%
1590+
18%
1600+
Resolvido
YES
1490+
Resolvido
YES
1500+

An option resolves YES if any model gets at least that option's arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) without style control, before EOY 2026.

This market's resolution mirrors this polymarket but with additional options.

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@Bayesian description says "before 2026," i take that to mean before the end of 2026?

@perfperfperf that's right

Start of February 2026, highest score is 1481.

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