Thinking Machines to top Chatbot Arena by EOY 2026?
11
100Ṁ712Dec 31
2%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
Resolves YES if a model created by Thinking Machines reaches the top of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard by EOY 2026.
Background
Thinking Machines Lab is a new AI company whose CEO is Mira Murati (former CTO of OpenAI).
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60% chance