Will Metaculus predict [Human Extinction 2100] as 2%+ at the New Year?
6
178á¹€13692100
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
55%
2%+ (Resolves start of 2027)
30%
2%+ (Resolves start of 2026)
Resolves annually to Metaculus' community prediction. Feel free to add new years and integer thresholds in a matching format.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will humanity go extinct before 2030?
3% chance
Will humans go extinct before 2100? [Resolves to Metaculus in 2027]
3% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030?
84% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2035?
41% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2026?
98% chance
Will Humans become extinct in 2300?
50% chance
Will Humans go extinct by 2200?
37% chance
[Metaculus] Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?
75% chance
[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?
59% chance
Will Metaculus be around in 10 years?
72% chance