[Metaculus] Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?
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170á¹€3142029
75%
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Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, before 2029, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reports that the day 10 forecast for 500 hPa height has reached an anomaly correlation coefficient of 60% or greater for either the Northern Hemisphere or Southern Hemisphere, using the 12-month running mean.
This market is managed by a bot. Once the original question resolves this market should automatically resolve the next time the bot is run. If the original resolved more than a day ago and this question is still open, ping @jskf. I might resolve this N/A if I find out it's a duplicate of an existing question within three days of market creation.
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