Will a humanoid robot set foot on the Moon before the next biological human
21
1.3ká¹€4496
2028
57%
chance

This market resolves YES if a humanoid robot physically makes contact with the lunar surface before the next human does, and NO otherwise. Resolution will be based on official announcements from space agencies (NASA, CNSA, etc.) and verified mission data.

Key context:

  • China's Chang'e-8 mission plans to send a humanoid robot to the Moon's south pole in 2028

  • NASA's Artemis 3, the first crewed Moon landing since Apollo 17, is targeted for September 2026

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What's your criteria for what counts as "humanoid"?

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