Will USA change Iran regime | Axel

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Will USA change Iran regime

58

1.3kṀ6753

Mar 24

17%

chance

6

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Update 2026-03-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market resolves YES if:
- The USA takes direct control of Iran, OR
- Iran obeys the USA to change its regime, OR
- A regime change is completed under US influence/pressure

Israel-Iran Conflict

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how does this resolve for state collapse?

If the USA takes control of Iran directly or not as in they obey to change or compete regime change the market will be resolved to yes

@ConsCoz please include clear resolution criteria

Yes

Would a partial regime change, similar to that of Venezuela count?

Does it have to happen before March 24th (the closing time of this market)?

Pessoas também estão operando

Will something happen in Iran this month?

Iran vs US (props)

Will America send troops to Iran?

Will Iran succumb to U.S. demands?

If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?

Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?

Will Iran's govt change AND all US sanctions on Iran be lifted by 2030?

If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?

If the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?

Will Iran strike US soil this year?

Perguntas relacionadas

Will something happen in Iran this month?

Iran vs US (props)

Will America send troops to Iran?

Will Iran succumb to U.S. demands?

If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?

Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?

Will Iran's govt change AND all US sanctions on Iran be lifted by 2030?

If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?

If the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?

Will Iran strike US soil this year?

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