Will Manifold consider the next Claude Opus model to be AGI? | Axel

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Will Manifold consider the next Claude Opus model to be AGI?

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Dec 31

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I will make a poll a few weeks after release, in order so that most people can try it, I will wait until it has had a few weeks on the pro plan because I doubt it, but they may only release it to the max at first.

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Perguntas relacionadas

Will Manifold consider Claude Sonnet 4.6 to be a frontier model?

Tyler Cowen thinks Claude 3 meets some definitions of AGI. Five years from now, will Claude be considered an early AGI?

If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?

When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved?

Who will believe in AGI first, Manifold (Yes) or OpenAI (No)?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

When will manifold users think we have AGI? [Resolves to a majority yes in poll]

Manifold users agree first announced AGI is AGI?

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

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