Manifold users agree first announced AGI is AGI?
16
1kṀ13102035
23%
chance
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If a major AI lab announces they have achieved AGI, a second market will be run, with the question “Is [claimed AGI] AGI by your definition?”
The second market will resolve one week after the claimed AGI becomes publicly accessible.
This market resolves to the same answer as the future market.
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