Will Anthropic ever drop out of the capabilities race despite ability to continue?
8
100á¹€2292029
11%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This includes multiple scenarios:
Anthropic focuses purely on alignment research
Anthropic "self-immolates" as a costly signal that AI alignment is not possible in the given timeframe
I'll know it when I see it. This question resolves "no" if transformative AI is developed before Anthropic does this, or if Anthropic merges with another company, or goes bankrupt &c.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?
38% chance
Will Anthropic, before 2035, completely halt development of AI and attempt to persuade other organizations to do so?
19% chance
Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?
22% chance
What will be the next major event for Anthropic?
Will Anthropic lose any of its cofounders by the end of 2026?
34% chance
Anthropic 'falls behind' by July 2026?
9% chance
Will Anthropic cause human extinction in the next 5 years?
3% chance
Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030?
69% chance
Will Anthropic, before 2035, pause development as a result of safety evaluations?
58% chance
Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?