Who will join Anthropic by end of 2026?
67
17kṀ43kDec 31
14%
Alec Radford
13%
Nadia Asparouhova
12%
Nan Ransohoff
10%
Katja Grace
9%
Austin Chen (me)
7%
janus
6%
Dwarkesh Patel
6%
James Grugett
5%
Scott Alexander
5%
Gwern
4%
Stephen Grugett
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(tentative) resolution criteria:
Anthropic, Anthropic Institute, or orgs substantially owned by Anthropic count
Anthropic Fellowship counts
Acquisitions and acquihires count
Credible announcements count, even if formal employment/acquisition doesn't start until 2027 or later
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When will Anthropic IPO?
12/2/26
Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?
Will Anthropic lose any of its cofounders by the end of 2026?
14% chance
Which number model will Anthropic be on by EOY?
63% chance
Will Amazon buy Anthropic in 2026?
1% chance
Will Google acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026 ?
0% chance
Will there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027?
96% chance
Will Anthropic be listed on Nasdaq by the end of 2026?
76% chance
Will Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030?
8% chance
Anthropic relocates by the end of 2027?