Who will join Anthropic by end of 2026?
67
17ká¹€40kDec 31
17%
Alec Radford
16%
Nadia Asparouhova
13%
Nan Ransohoff
10%
Katja Grace
9%
Austin Chen (me)
7%
janus
7%
Dwarkesh Patel
6%
James Grugett
5%
Scott Alexander
5%
Gwern
4%
Stephen Grugett
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(tentative) resolution criteria:
Anthropic, Anthropic Institute, or orgs substantially owned by Anthropic count
Anthropic Fellowship counts
Acquisitions and acquihires count
Credible announcements count, even if formal employment/acquisition doesn't start until 2027 or later
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When will Anthropic IPO?
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Will Anthropic lose any of its cofounders by the end of 2026?
17% chance
Will Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030?
9% chance
What Month in 2026 Will Anthropic IPO in?
Which number model will Anthropic be on by EOY?
50% chance
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Will Amazon buy Anthropic in 2026?
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Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?
Will Google acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026 ?
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What will be the next major event for Anthropic?