Will Anthropic cause human extinction in the next 5 years? | Axel

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Will Anthropic cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

21

1kṀ2092

2028

3%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Anthropic is developing powerful AI systems which may be powerful enough to cause human extinction, by misuse or by misalignment.

Will Anthropic cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Artificial Intelligence

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Stating the obvious, if I thought this were true I would have zero incentive to buy yes, while if I thought it were false, I would have plenty of incentive to buy no; this asymmetry means the market is broken.

Anthropic has a higher chance than OpenAI? https://manifold.markets/SimeonCampos/will-openai-cause-human-extinction

Looks like the closing date on this one is set wrong

@stevez Thanks

Pessoas também estão operando

Will humanity survive until 2100?

Will OpenAI cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Will humanity go extinct before 2030?

Will AI cause human extinction before 2100 (and how)?

What will be the next major event for Anthropic?

Will Anthropic lose any of its cofounders by the end of 2026?

Will Humans become extinct in 2300?

Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?

Will Humans become extinct in 2400?

Will Anthropic, before 2035, completely halt development of AI and attempt to persuade other organizations to do so?

Perguntas relacionadas

Will humanity survive until 2100?

Will OpenAI cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Will humanity go extinct before 2030?

Will AI cause human extinction before 2100 (and how)?

What will be the next major event for Anthropic?

Will Anthropic lose any of its cofounders by the end of 2026?

Will Humans become extinct in 2300?

Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?

Will Humans become extinct in 2400?

Will Anthropic, before 2035, completely halt development of AI and attempt to persuade other organizations to do so?

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