What will Manifold's P(doom) be at the end of 2026?
6
140Ṁ140Dec 21
23%
chance
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Similar to this market - https://manifold.markets/chris/what-is-manifolds-pdoom-will-resolv
The difference here is I will be resolving this to the % of the result of a poll conducted last week of 2026.
Related markets:
Right now - https://manifold.markets/chris/what-is-manifolds-pdoom-will-resolv
End of 2024 - https://manifold.markets/chris/what-will-manifolds-pdoom-be-at-the
End of 2025 - https://manifold.markets/chris/what-will-manifolds-pdoom-be-at-the-68646ab65a1e
This market - https://manifold.markets/chris/what-will-manifolds-pdoom-be-at-the-7c833accc9b3
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