Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory
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1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
48%
Neal, 27+ pts
53%
Neal, 30+ pts
53%
Neal, 24+ pts
26%
Neal, 33+ pts
73%
Neal, 21+ pts
19%
Neal, 36+ pts
83%
Neal, 18+ pts
89%
Neal, 15+ pts
92%
Neal, 12+ pts
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ma01d
Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 1st District by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
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