California's 12th District margin of victory
4
Ṁ341
2027
63%
Lateefah Simon, 50+ pts
44%
Lateefah Simon, 55+ pts
69%
Lateefah Simon, 45+ pts
34%
Lateefah Simon, 60+ pts
82%
Lateefah Simon, 40+ pts
24%
Lateefah Simon, 65+ pts
89%
Lateefah Simon, 35+ pts
93%
Lateefah Simon, 30+ pts
94%
Lateefah Simon, 25+ pts
94%
Lateefah Simon, 20+ pts

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 12th District by 50 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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