Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel?
8
500Ṁ40762031
15%
chance
3
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if Iran builds a nuclear weapon and then pre-emptively nukes Israel, without Israel first nuking Iran.
Resolves N/A if Iran does not develop a nuclear weapon.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?
27% chance
Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
14% chance
Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030?
7% chance
Conditional on an attack on Iran occurring in 2026, which of Israel and America will strike first?
Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
9% chance
Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?
14% chance
Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
40% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
21% chance