Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?
15
500Ṁ33532031
28%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if Iran builds a nuclear bomb and then nukes Israel.
Both a nuclear first strike and a response to Israeli nuclear weapons use count as yes.
Resolves N/A if Iran does not develop a nuclear weapon.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel?
12% chance
Will Iran use Nuclear weapons?
6% chance
Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030?
7% chance
Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
10% chance
Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
10% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
31% chance
Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
69% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
30% chance
Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?
14% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?
65% chance