Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
6
250á¹€1142030
13%
Google/Alphabet
25%
IBM
6%
Microsoft
6%
Amazon
6%
Intel
6%
Rigetti
8%
IonQ
8%
Alibaba
6%
Baidu
14%
Other
This market predicts which major technology company will achieve the most significant breakthrough in quantum computing by December 31, 2029. A "significant breakthrough" is defined as: 1. Development of a quantum computer with >1000 logical qubits, OR 2. First demonstration of quantum advantage for a commercially relevant problem, OR 3. Development of a quantum-resistant cryptography standard that becomes widely adopted. The breakthrough must be publicly announced and independently verified by at least two academic institutions.
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