Which company will first publicly demonstrate a fault-tolerant, commercially useful quantum computer? | Axel

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Which company will first publicly demonstrate a fault-tolerant, commercially useful quantum computer?

3

200Ṁ34

2099

13%

Google

13%

IBM

11%

Microsoft

13%

Quantinuum

13%

PsiQuantum

13%

IonQ

13%

Other

13%

Other

This market resolves to the first company that publicly demonstrates a fault-tolerant quantum computer that is widely recognized as commercially useful.

The demonstration must be publicly announced by the company and supported by credible evidence such as technical documentation, peer-reviewed research, or broad recognition from major industry publications.

If another company not listed achieves this milestone first, Other will resolve YES.

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I am surprised and confused by this resolution, particularly coming only one day after the question was posed. Can you post the evidence for "commercially useful" on which you resolved this?

@nonnihil With no further information forthcoming, I think this market was badly misresolved.

@nonnihil Agreed. I think at this point it is fine to ask @mods for their help.

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Perguntas relacionadas

Which sector will be the first to widely adopt quantum computing for production workloads?

Which Company or Lab will release a Quantum Computer that can break RSA-2048 first

Will any practical applications of quantum computing be commercially available to retail consumers before end of 2026?

In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated?

Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?

Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade

From which countries will the 5 most performant quantum computer corporates in 2028 have originated?

Will IBM be the first to create a quantum computer with over 10,000 qubits?

Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?

When will Quantum computing become viable?

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