Will my Ukrainian friend die in the war in Ukraine?

Em alta Urgente Novo

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210Ṁ293

Dec 31

16%

chance

ALL

Will my Ukrainian friend die in the war in Ukraine?

He recently joined an Azov artillery unit.

Close will be extended as needed.

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Ordenar por:

He's still doing well

did he

@jacksonpolack not so far

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/if-my-ukrainian-artillery-friend-di

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/if-my-ancap-friend-goes-to-fight-in

Odds of a soldier dying are less than 1 in 3, I think. Absent further information I’m going to bet “no” and hope to win :)

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