Will independence supporting parties maintain a majority in the next Scottish Parliament Election?
15
130Ṁ774
Jun 1
81%
chance
7

This question will resolve yes if parties which support independence win the majority of seats in the Scottish Parliament in the next election, which due to be held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

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comprou Ṁ20 NO

I have created a similar question for seat shares on all the parties at the next Scottish election:

https://manifold.markets/PontiMin/in-the-next-scottish-parliamentary

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