When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
28
1kṀ5455
2030
1%
Before 2027
6%
Before 2028
43%
Before 2029
83%
Before 2030
Resolvido
NO
Before 2025
Resolvido
NO
Before 2026

The market will resolve positively as soon a live human either successfully launches on a SpaceX Starship to space, or enters a Starship while in space (anywhere more than 100 km from Earth surface). It will still count if the Starship fails in some way, as long as it happens after it has reached space.

I do not bet on my own questions.

Similar question about launch and landing:

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-or

My other questions about Starship milestones:

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-the-4th-starship-launch-h

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-5-happen

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-starship-reach-orb

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-wit

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-attempt-pr

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-dock-to-a

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Is HLS considered as Starship?

@JoshuaWilkes Sure hope so! Unless we're talking about Blue's HLS.

@JoshuaWilkes Yes, of course

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