When will Starship complete a full crewed mission from earth?
6
1ká¹€33672050
September 6, 2034
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.7%
2025-2027
28%
2028-2030
42%
2031-2035
16%
2036-2040
13%
2041-2050
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the date on which SpaceX's Starship completes its first full crewed mission from Earth. A full crewed mission is defined as:
Launch: Starship must launch from Earth with a human crew aboard.
Orbit: The mission must complete at least one full orbit.
Reentry and Landing: The spacecraft must successfully reenter Earth's atmosphere and land safely.
Missions that do not meet all these criteria will not be considered for resolution.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will Starliner have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?
2% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
2% chance
When will Starship complete an orbit?
When will Starship reach orbit?
N/A
When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers?
When will Starship reach orbit?
3/20/27
When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
When will Starship first deploy a commercial* satellite to orbit?
In which year will Starship first launch with 50 or more people on board?
Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?
35% chance