When will Starship complete a full crewed mission from earth?
5
1ká¹€32972050
May 16, 2034
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.7%
2025-2027
34%
2028-2030
38%
2031-2035
15%
2036-2040
13%
2041-2050
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the date on which SpaceX's Starship completes its first full crewed mission from Earth. A full crewed mission is defined as:
Launch: Starship must launch from Earth with a human crew aboard.
Orbit: The mission must complete at least one full orbit.
Reentry and Landing: The spacecraft must successfully reenter Earth's atmosphere and land safely.
Missions that do not meet all these criteria will not be considered for resolution.
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