If passed, will 2 or more AI orgs significantly shift their operations from California and give SB 1047 as the reason?

Em alta Urgente Novo

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@NathanpmYoung I think this resolves N/A, since SB 1047 didn't pass.

comprou Ṁ1,250 NO

This isn't happening. SB1047 doesn't care where your company is located. It applies to companies doing business in California.

What qualifies as an "AI org"? Do random small startups count?

(I don't think they should, but won't bet on this market without clarity on that)

Pessoas também estão operando

Will there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?

7% chance

If CA Prop 40 passes will 41 or 42 also pass?

69% chance

If not passed, will there be any open source model that would have been covered by SB 1047, by January 1st 2027?

65% chance

If SB 1047 is not passed and an AI tool causes $500mn of damages, will the respective AI lab pay over 10% in damages?

48% chance

Will federal legislation pre-empt CA SB 53 by Nov 2028?

51% chance

AI tools will cause mass casualties or $500mn harm before 2029 such as would have been covered under SB 1047.

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