Will there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?
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1kṀ14762027
54%
chance
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Resolves Yes if there is a California ballot measure that refers to Artificial Intelligence in the short description that is printed on the ballot.
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According to this Carnegie Endowment article there are at least two proposed initiatives in the works (one from OpenAI, one from Common Sense Media), but historically only about 19% of all proposed initiatives actually appear on the ballot. If there's a third or fourth proposal in the works I'd probably bet this market up a lot higher
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