Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2026? | Axel

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Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2026?

43

110Ṁ3426

2027

37%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Ordenar por:

@MarcusAbramovitch Can be resolved.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/what-to-know-about-key-waterway-that-iran-declared-closed-as-it-holds-military-drill/

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-close-parts-hormuz-strait-few-hours-during-military-drill-fars-news-agency-2026-02-17/

aberto a Ṁ250 YES at 47% order

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/iran-temporarily-closing-strait-of-hormuz-for-live-fire-drills-as-nuclear-talks-with-u-s-begin

aberto a Ṁ50 YES at 37% order

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/17/iran-us-strait-of-hormuz-oil-nuclear-talks-geneva.html

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Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?

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Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?

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Perguntas relacionadas

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Will Iran blockade the Strait of Hormuz before Israel's invasion of the Gaza Strip ends?

Will US strike Iran by end of 2027?

Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2026?

Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?

Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?

Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027?

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