Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?
38
1kṀ6139Dec 31
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, including reporting on weapons tests (reports that they had the weapon to perform the test are sufficient; they do not need to still be in possession of another one).
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Ordenar por:
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
13% chance
Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before the end of 2026?
3% chance
Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?
11% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
50% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?
59% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
30% chance
Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2026?
69% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
22% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
24% chance
Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
9% chance