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China conducts Red Sea combat operations before 2040?
6
100Ṁ188
2039
47%
chance

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that China has conducted combat operations in the Red Sea before January 1st 2040.

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Geopolitics
Wars
Middle East
China
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comprou Ṁ30 YES

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/13/trump-iran-hormuz-strait-charge-reimburse.html

Trump proposes 20% toll on cargo through Strait of Hormuz; restarts Iran blockade
The Strait of Hormuz is a major oil shipping route and the epicenter of the U.S. and Israel's ongoing war with Iran.

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