Will China establish a new military base in another country by 2027?

Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026?

Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?

Will there be a U.S. air base on Diego Garcia in 2040?

[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?

Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2030?

China conducts Red Sea combat operations before 2040?

Will China intervene militarily in Myanmar before 2030?