Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
39
1kṀ54552027
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Taiwan possesses four island groups off the coast of mainland China: Kinmen, the Matsu Islands, Wuqiu, and Penghu.
China might opt to seize one or more of these islands in the coming years, either to test American and Taiwanese resolve, as a bargaining chip, as salami tactics, or as part of an invasion or naval blockade.
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands before the end of 2026?
Same question except:
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
13% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
33% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
49% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
36% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
7% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by year's end?
9% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
30% chance
Will China launch a military operation against Taiwan in 2026?
10% chance
If Trump wins, will China attack Taiwan before the end of 2026?
9% chance
Will china invade taiwan before 14 Jan 2026?
1% chance