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Israel’s deterioration as a liberal democracy [add predictions]
8
1kṀ2303
Oct 27
76%
Further judicial overhaul legislation is passed
67%
Israel is downgraded in another major democracy index
28%
Another downgrading of Israel's credit rating by a major agency
25%
General attorney (Gali Baharav Miara) leaves position ahead of time
5%
Netanyahu is forced to step down as Prime Minister for any reason other then health or losing elections
3%
No general elections on or before the planned date (Oct 27 2026)
Resolvido
YES
Head of the Internal Security Service (Ronen Bar) leaves position ahead of time

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  • Update 2025-03-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Updated Resolution Criteria:

    • Legislation Passage: The judicial overhaul legislation must be passed through the legislative process.

    • Supreme Court Challenge: The legislation must withstand a Supreme Court challenge.

Politics
Israel
Democracy
Israeli Politics
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the supreme court is expected to discuss the motion against Bar dismissal next week.

comprou Ṁ180 YES

@traders legistlation regarding the judges selection committee passed today. I will wait a for a supreme court challenge before resolving.

comprou Ṁ25 NO

Does the judicial overhaul legislation have to go into effect?

@RazDvora it has to pass legislation and withstand the supreme court challenge that would likely follow.

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