Israeli Politics 2026 Prop Bets [add your predictions]
17
1.4kṀ3090
Dec 31
81%
Elections held before October 27th
73%
Likud is the biggest party after next elections
60%
More than 6% of eligible votes go to parties below the threshold
57%
New PM other than Netanyahu
47%
Stalemate: no new government, another elections (similar to 2019)
46%
Netanyahu claims the elections were stolen due to widespread fraud
35%
Opposition block forms a minority coalition with external support of Arab block
30%
Opposition block (ex. Arab parties) wins a majority in the next elections
16%
Bennet’s new party is the biggest party after the next elections
Resolvido
YES
Budget law is passed before deadline (end of March)

  • Update 2026-04-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): When counting parties, alliances and parties will both be included in the full list (not just standalone parties).

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comprou Ṁ50 NO

are we distinguishing between “alliances” and “parties” and if so how

@TeapotinSagittarius good catch. Even though I technically mentioned “party”, I am going to use the entire list, inclusive of alliances.

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