Will METR retire the 50% Time Horizon by EOY 2026
26
100Ṁ909Jan 2
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This market will resolve Yes if METR removes or no longer updates the 50% Time Horizon from their Task-Completion Time Horizons of Frontier AI Models benchmark.
A public statement from METR that they will no longer officially track their 50% time horizon will count
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Market was about 49% when I bet; I have it around 85%. METR's page under that exact title now carries a banner, "This page is no longer actively updated", and its update log says that was clarified on Sep 8. That reads to me like the "no longer updates" case in the description. https://metr.org/time-horizons/
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