Which 2028 US Senate elections will a Democrat win?
7
850Ṁ21722028
96%
California (Incumbent - (D) Alex Padilla)
92%
Maryland (Incumbent - (D) Chris Van Hollen)
92%
Illinois (Incumbent - (D) Tammy Duckworth)
90%
Washington (Incumbent - (D) Patty Murray)
90%
Connecticut (Incumbent - (D) Richard Blumenthal)
90%
Oregon (Incumbent - (D) Ron Wyden)
87%
New York (Incumbent - (D) Chuck Schumer)
87%
New Hampshire (Incumbent - (D) Maggie Hassan)
87%
Colorado (Incumbent - (D) Michael Bennet)
86%
Vermont (Incumbent - (D) Peter Welch)
74%
Hawaii (Incumbent - (D) Brian Schatz)
67%
Pennsylvania (Incumbent - (D) John Fetterman)
67%
Arizona (Incumbent - (D) Mark Kelly)
66%
Georgia (Incumbent - (D) Raphael Warnock)
64%
Wisconsin (Incumbent - (R) Ron Johnson)
62%
Nevada (Incumbent - (D) Catherine Cortez Masto)
61%
North Carolina (Incumbent - (R) Ted Budd)
44%
Ohio (Incumbent - TBD 2026 Special Election)
37%
South Carolina (Incumbent -(R) Tim Scott)
35%
Iowa (Incumbent - (R) Chuck Grassley)
Incumbents listed are a guide only and have no effect on the answer. Market answer resolves yes if ANY Democrat wins that seat
Resolves according to the winner of the 2028 us senate election in the state listed for that answer.
This is for the regular 2028 election, if a state has a special election as well as a regular, resolves based on the regular only.
Resolves yes if the Democratic candidate on the ballot wins, or an independent who caucuses or plans to caucus with the Democrat, wins.
This market can resolve early based on projections by associated press or another trusted outlet. If an independent wins and it is unclear how they will caucus, that answer will wait to be resolved.
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