I don't really understand what Ventuals is, but my sense is that it's a prediction market on companies' valuations at IPO, which I think kinda makes it like trading private companies' stocks.
As of this writing, Anthropic's market cap on Ventuals is $711B, while OpenAI's is $834B.
I will say that Anthropic's market cap surpasses OpenAI's at the start of the first 24-hour period during which Anthropic's lowest market cap during that time is higher than OpenAI's highest market cap during that time.
Link to Anthropic on Ventuals; Link to OpenAI on Ventuals
For example, over the last 24 hours, here are the price graphs of Anthropic and OpenAI:
Anthropic's lowest market cap during the period was $678B, while OpenAI's highest was (very briefly) $896B.
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In the window from 3:29pm PT on April 14th to 3:17pm PT on April 15th, OpenAI's max price was below $850, while Anthropic's min price was above $850. I believe that all markets can resolve YES, but I'll leave a day for people to challenge this decision.
