Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
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1kṀ24kDec 31
Anthropic94%
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OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending. Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven. Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO. Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO. If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
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Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
When will Anthropic IPO?
12/2/26
What Month in 2026 Will Anthropic IPO in?
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO?
59% chance
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
86% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
5% chance
Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?
5% chance
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
64% chance
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Bankers expect Anthropic to list before OpenAI due to market preference for its focus.
comprou Ṁ50 NO
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Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
When will Anthropic IPO?
12/2/26
What Month in 2026 Will Anthropic IPO in?
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO?
59% chance
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
86% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
5% chance
Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?
5% chance
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
64% chance