Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
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1kṀ18kDec 31
Anthropic85%
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OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending. Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven. Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO. Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO. If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
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Bankers expect Anthropic to list before OpenAI due to market preference for its focus.
comprou Ṁ50 NO
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Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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8% chance
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
69% chance
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Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?
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At the end of 2027 will both OpenAI and Anthropic be public companies?
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