Will US public opinion shift towards Israel during 2026 (according to gallop)?
Based on the question:
"In the Middle East situation, are your sympathies more with the Israelis or more with the Palestinians?"
https://news.gallup.com/poll/702440/israelis-no-longer-ahead-americans-middle-east-sympathies.aspx
For 2025 gallop reported israel having a net favoutabutilty of 36% - 41% = -5%.
This was down substantially from 2024 where gallop reported israel having a net favoutabutilty of 46% - 33% = 13%.
If this has increased for 2026 vs 2025 I will resolve yes. If it decreases or stays the same I will resolve no.
They should release the results around February to March 2027 as part of "Gallup's annual World Aff
airs survey".
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@Jack1 War will be over well before 2027 I think. Also it seems to have had an effect in the other direction: https://x.com/ScottWRasmussen/status/2033563899438444553
This is for a year from now? I would imagine the effect from the Gaza War will fade? 19% seems low?
Implied odds here are like 52%:
https://manifold.markets/UnspecifiedPerson/net-sympathy-for-israelis-vs-palest-c2lyd2R8ch