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Who will win the 2026 election for California's 14th Congressional District
6
1kṀ4429
Dec 31
0.6%
Matt Ortega
0.6%
Abrar Qadir
93%
Aisha Wahab
6%
Other

Resolves based on the election outcome per major media calls or secretary of state.

Follows the district number through any redistricting

  • Update 2026-01-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market is for California's 14th Congressional District (the title previously incorrectly stated 11th district, but this was a typo).

  • Update 2026-04-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on the regularly scheduled 2026 election, not any special election that may occur beforehand.

Politics
Elections
2026 US Congressional Elections
California
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Clarification given the swalwell news. This resolves based on the regularly scheduled election, not a special election beforehand

@BenM the title says 11 but those candidates are running for 14

@Jack1 Whoops, you're right. I copied from my 11th district market and forgot to change the number https://manifold.markets/BenM/who-will-win-the-2026-election-for-AndtddsLn0

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