Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
58
655Ṁ32kNov 9
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
89%
Xavier Becerra
10%
Steve Hilton
Gavin Newsom is term-limited. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_California_gubernatorial_election
Resolves when the race is projected by a major news outlet or Dave Wasserman. Re-resolves in the rare event that an initial projection does not match official election results.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
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https://manifold.markets/news/2026-california-governor-election?r=TnpKYWNrMG4
I made a dashboard so you can find other California Governor markets easily
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