Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
39
655Ṁ7300
Nov 9
59%
Tom Steyer
12%
Xavier Becerra
9%
Steve Hilton
6%
Katie Porter
4%
Matt Mahan
3%
Chad Bianco
3%
Other
1.3%
Alex Padilla

Gavin Newsom is term-limited. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_California_gubernatorial_election

Resolves when the race is projected by a major news outlet or Dave Wasserman. Re-resolves in the rare event that an initial projection does not match official election results.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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Why is Swalwell so high

https://manifold.markets/news/2026-california-governor-election?r=TnpKYWNrMG4

I made a dashboard so you can find other California Governor markets easily

comprou Ṁ10 YES

How come others can add answers and I can’t

@Jack0 Try now!

I think it was a moderator-only option before

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