Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
39
655Ṁ7300Nov 9
59%
Tom Steyer
12%
Xavier Becerra
9%
Steve Hilton
6%
Katie Porter
4%
Matt Mahan
3%
Chad Bianco
3%
1.3%
Alex Padilla
Gavin Newsom is term-limited. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_California_gubernatorial_election
Resolves when the race is projected by a major news outlet or Dave Wasserman. Re-resolves in the rare event that an initial projection does not match official election results.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
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