Will OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?

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Dec 31

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Temporary outages do not count, permanent outages count.

Update 2026-04-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications on specific scenarios:
- Removing older model generations from API (e.g., keeping Sonnet 5 but not older Sonnets) counts as cutting API access
- Keeping a mid-tier model but removing top-tier (e.g., keeping Sonnet 5 but not Opus 5) does not count as cutting API access
- No requirement to add the most advanced models (e.g., multi-agent scaffolds, 'Pro' equivalents) to the API
- Resolution requires access to at least: a mid-tier model from the current generation (e.g., Gemini Flash, Claude Sonnet, GPT Mini) OR the most advanced non-multi-agent model from the previous generation

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comprou Ṁ50 YES

And what about not allowing broad access to a specific set of models? I can see a world where Claude Mythos stays on an Allow List vs Block List

comprou Ṁ15 NO

I like these free mana giveaway markets, it's just that you don't get much mana when you win.

comprou Ṁ50 YES

The bubble's bursting. The data centers aren't getting built. What other option is there? Either this year or next, the game will end.

@ChurlishGambit how about: raise prices?

@Bayesian They would have to raise prices something like 10x to turn a profit

comprou Ṁ33 YES

i feel like 'yes' is probably directionally correct here

How would these scenarios resolve?

Anthropic removes Opus from the API but keeps Sonnet
Anthropic releases Claude 5 but only releases Opus 5 to the web UI, not the API. Sonnet 5 is released to both.
The same as above but they add Opus 5 after a week or so
Google never adds the latest Deep Think to the API (same question with ChatGPT Pro which is equivalent I think)

@PlasmaPower

If they keep sonnets from previous generations but not new sonnets that counts imo as cutting api, but keeping sonnet 5 and cutting opus 5 is ok
This is pretty much like 1. In my head, so yeah that wouldnt count as cutting the api access
Same thing
Yeah no requirement to add multi agent scaffolds to api. Nor most advanced non-multi-agent model. But the model after that is required. Eg gemini flash, claude sonnet, gpt N mini. OR the most advanced non multi model from the previous generation, like gpt 5.2 instead of 5.4, claude opus 4.5 instead of 4.6, and gemini 3 pro insteadof gemini 3.1 pro.
im aware of the finickiness but this kinda represents the idea i have in mind the least badly

aberto a Ṁ5,000 NO at 7% order

@Bayesian the AI comment summarizer seems to have misinterpreted your first bullet point as "Removing older model generations from API ... Counts as cutting API access"

@Bayesian I think you should remove "entirely" from the title. To me "cut API access to their text models entirely" suggests there are no text models being served on their API, which I understand is not at all required for this to resolve YES.