Resolution criteria
Resolves based on official statements or verified reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP)
WTI and Brent crude below $120 until June 1, 2026: MarketWatch
S&P 500: MarketWatch.
Update 2026-04-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The S&P 500 data source has been changed from S&P Dow Jones Indices to MarketWatch, which provides five-minute candle data in addition to the same closing prices.
1,000S&P 500 went up to 6,950 today, and it seems that the Strait of Hormuz is closed due to a blockade, so I am resolving three of the options. https://thehill.com/policy/defense/5828980-trump-blockade-strait-hormuz/
@traders I've changed the source of the S&P 500. It's now MarketWatch because it's much clearer over there. I hope no one has any problems as both the sources report the same closes, but MarketWatch gives five-minute candle data.