Are we currently in an AI economic bubble?
27
1ká¹€1838
2029
54%
chance

Tech companies contributing to AI progress--on both the hardware and software side--are making a lot of money lately. The question is: Is it over, or just getting started?

Resolves subjectively, based on my diligent assessment of the literature on January 1, 2029. Resolves YES if I reasonably decide that we were indeed in an AI bubble at market creation, meaning AI-connected stocks are generally significantly overvalued.

If it's very unclear at the time of close, I reserve the right to extend the market until the question is sufficiently settled.

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