Will Trump be assassinated during his second term?
46
1kṀ54212029
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
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1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Donald Trump dies by homicide while being president (during the term beginning 1/20/2025.)
Resolves NO if Donald Trump finishes his time in office alive OR dies of any cause while president excluding homicide.
Clarifications:
If Donald Trump is replaced as president by an acting President due to incapacitation caused by an assassination attempt (25th constitutional amendment) AND later dies from injuries/complications before 1/20/2029, the market resolves YES.
Trump’s term is considered over when his 4 year term expires, or earlier if he resigns or is removed from office.
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