Will Trump participate in an election for a third term? | Axel

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Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?

82

2kṀ23k

2029

14%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

resolves YES if

trump formally announces a campaign for the 2028 election, whether or not it is legal at the time
other republicans campaign trump as a party candidate
he wins the 2028 election, even if he does not formally announce he is running

resolves NO if

trump announces he will not run for a 3rd term at the time of market close

this market will resolve NO if legislation is introduced/passed that makes a 3rd term legally possible, but trump decides not to run by the end of the election

2024 US Presidential Election

Republican Party

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11 Comentários

Ordenar por:

if the war, there are no elections

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c797q57ple9o

What about things like 1) seizing power 2) the theoretical vice-president -> president loophole ??

comprou Ṁ1 YES

Related:

@strutheo Has the NO condition been fulfilled already? See this comment.

@Quroe no because he flip flops a lot, ill amend that

@strutheo Are the YES conditions slated as "and" or "or"? Does only one need to be fulfilled, or all 3?

@Quroe the wording of the third one implies "or"

This market but more shenanigans allowed:
https://manifold.markets/TimothyBandors/will-trump-win-a-third-term-as-pres

reposted

upgraded to plus

reposted

bump

Pessoas também estão operando

Will a Republican House or Senate Candidate say Donald Trump should run for a third term before Midterms Election Day?

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 presidential election and be sworn in for a third term?

Will Trump get a third term in office?

Will Trump finish his second term?

Conditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?

Will Donald Trump either serve a third term or run for U.S. President in an election held after 2028?

Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)

Will trump somehow be president for more than 8 years?

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?

Perguntas relacionadas

Will a Republican House or Senate Candidate say Donald Trump should run for a third term before Midterms Election Day?

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 presidential election and be sworn in for a third term?

Will Trump get a third term in office?

Will Trump finish his second term?

Conditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?

Will Donald Trump either serve a third term or run for U.S. President in an election held after 2028?

Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)

Will trump somehow be president for more than 8 years?

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?

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