Will SpaceX land a human on the Moon before they land a human on Mars?
54
1ká¹€29k2029
92%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve YES if they successfully launch a mission to the moon and land a living human on it.
Will also resolve YES if a joint-partner with NASA or another space agency.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
When will SpaceX land humans on Mars?
2041
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
1% chance
Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
76% chance
Will SpaceX land on the MOON before Dec 31st 2028?
14% chance
Will a human land on Phobos or Deimos before a human lands on Mars?
14% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2027?
3% chance
When will SpaceX land on the moon?
Will SpaceX deliver the next set of human astronauts to the lunar surface?
39% chance
Will NASA land a person on the moon before 2030?
57% chance
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
4% chance
Ordenar por:
@strutheo I dont understand how you'll judge that. Can you give some examples? Is "landing on the moon in a Starship" not enough help?
@Mqrius this is meant to test if spacex will land a mission on the moon, not just if they sell a ship to nasa that they use. so if they help on the mission in a joint capacity, yes i will count this.
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
When will SpaceX land humans on Mars?
2041
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
1% chance
Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
76% chance
Will SpaceX land on the MOON before Dec 31st 2028?
14% chance
Will a human land on Phobos or Deimos before a human lands on Mars?
14% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2027?
3% chance
When will SpaceX land on the moon?
Will SpaceX deliver the next set of human astronauts to the lunar surface?
39% chance
Will NASA land a person on the moon before 2030?
57% chance
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
4% chance