Will LLMs be generally able to produce human-level text in 2026? | Axel

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Will LLMs be generally able to produce human-level text in 2026?

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such that IQ 140 person casually browsing the internet cannot tell what's human and what is not

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@skibidist Such that a casual 140 IQ person cannot tell at what rate of success? And with how much scaffolding in place to try to coax the LLM output into seeming more human?

Title and criteria don’t match well. For example, if you were to hypothetically be able to identify LLM generated text by presence of emdash, that wouldn’t on its own make LLM generated text be of a lower quality.

@capybara If you read the title without prejudice, it doesn't suggest that human level is higher than AI. Just distinct.

@skibidist That’s like saying adults can’t produce writing at the level of a 10 year old, if they can’t recreate the mistakes etc of a 10 year old.

Pessoas também estão operando

By 2027, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text > human text for training LLMs?

By 2029 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

Will there be any simple text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs can't? By the end of 2026

Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?

Will a new form of AI surpass LLM’s before 2030?

Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030?

Will LLM based systems have debugging ability comparable to a human by 2030?

Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?

Will any widely used LLM be pre-trained with abstract synthetic data before 2030?

In 2030, will LLMs be sending messages to coordinate with one another, whether we can decode them or not?

Perguntas relacionadas

By 2027, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text > human text for training LLMs?

By 2029 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

Will there be any simple text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs can't? By the end of 2026

Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?

Will a new form of AI surpass LLM’s before 2030?

Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030?

Will LLM based systems have debugging ability comparable to a human by 2030?

Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?

Will any widely used LLM be pre-trained with abstract synthetic data before 2030?

In 2030, will LLMs be sending messages to coordinate with one another, whether we can decode them or not?

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