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OpenAI launches physical device when?
12
100Ṁ217
2027
49%
chance

Physical device is any AI-powered physical item that anyone can purchase for less than $10,000 and have delivered to their house within 3 months.

Resolves YES if by end of this year, 50% if by end of 2027, NO if not by end of 2027.

  • Update 2026-02-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Partnership devices count: If OpenAI partners with another company to make a device, it will still count as an OpenAI product for resolution purposes.

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comprou Ṁ10 NO

How does this resolve if they partner with another company to make a device?

@Qoiuoiuoiu YES, because it would still be an OpenAI product

Interesting market design.

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