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On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
15
11kṀ57k
Nov 30
40%
Will Edouard reach Category 1 wind speeds?
33%
Will Edouard reach Category 2 wind speeds?
20%
Will Edouard reach Category 3 wind speeds?
9%
Will Edouard reach Category 4 wind speeds?
2%
Will Edouard reach Category 5 wind speeds?
48%
Will Fay reach Category 1 wind speeds?
33%
Will Fay reach Category 2 wind speeds?
19%
Will Fay reach Category 3 wind speeds?
11%
Will Fay reach Category 4 wind speeds?
7%
Will Fay reach Category 5 wind speeds?
47%
Will Gonzalo reach Category 1 wind speeds?
32%
Will Gonzalo reach Category 2 wind speeds?
18%
Will Gonzalo reach Category 3 wind speeds?
11%
Will Gonzalo reach Category 4 wind speeds?
6%
Will Gonzalo reach Category 5 wind speeds?
45%
Will Hanna reach Category 1 wind speeds?
28%
Will Hanna reach Category 2 wind speeds?
18%
Will Hanna reach Category 3 wind speeds?
11%
Will Hanna reach Category 4 wind speeds?
6%
Will Hanna reach Category 5 wind speeds?

Each storm/category will be considered a separate YES/NO market, resolved via reporting from https://weather.com/.

Markets will resolve YES within 48 hours of the reported Category upgrade. Markets will resolve NO within 48 hours of the reported dissipation of a named storm or on November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM EST, whichever comes first.

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2026 Hurricane Season
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Current Atlantic Tropical Outlook

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7

Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
comprou Ṁ50 NO

@ovals cristobal resolves no

Just to confirm: if a storm name is never used during the 2026 season, will all five category markets for that name resolve NO under the November 30 deadline?

@perfperfperf That's correct. Just like we did last year with every name past Melissa /ovals/on-the-saffirsimpson-hurricane-wind

Tropical Storm Arthur Forms Near Texas, Bringing Heavy Rain and Flooding to the Gulf Coast

Tropical Storm Arthur Forms Near Texas, Bringing Heavy Rain and Flooding to the Gulf Coast
Arthur just became the first named storm of this year’s Atlantic hurricane season. It’s caused heavy rain and flooding in Texas this week, and more is on the way.
comprou Ṁ5 YES

A to Z sort as default and remove leading space from Edouard cat 5 market would be a better order?

@ChristopherRandles leading space removed

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