🏅 Top traders

Hopefully the AI safety people use this failure as a lesson for how to better run future political campaigns.

non epistemic bet, don't see alex winning sorry

He's down to 36% on Polymarket for some reason.

On the other hand, @SemioticRivalry told me he was underrated, and also lots of people in the AI safety community, myself included, are getting really excited about Bores! See Why I’m Excited About Supporting Alex Bores

Alex bores has worked at Aipac and Palantir, lets see how that goes in a dem primary.

@JackP yep! Though he left Palantir over ethics concerns

@JackP He didn't work at AIPAC.

@EricNeyman Ok, Intern then

@JackP That's a doctored screenshot. He didn't intern at AIPAC.

Here's what he actually did.

@EricNeyman Yes you are right, I don’t know why people are passing this off as his then. It appears it could be his legislative director’s LinkedIn, but it’s not him

@EricNeyman alex bores is probably the best candidate? The other main ones don’t seem very good

@Jack1 getting unreasonably pissed about this 6 month old misinformation lol

@bens I updated to say he’s probably the best candidate 1. Month ago

@ms the criteria seems slightly at odds with the title... did you mean for the criteria to merely say that he has to be a candidate in the primary? or was this intended to see whether he WINS that primary and is THE democratic candidate?

@bens oops, didn’t look over the ai-generated description. Yep, the market is meant to be about winning the democratic primaries/being listed as the democratic candidate in the election

He raised $1.2m on the first day.

@ms any idea how much Micah Lasher (the front-runner according to https://manifold.markets/justbrowsing/who-will-be-the-2026-democratic-can) raised? I haven't been able to find it.

@rogs no clue!

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Related: https://manifold.markets/justbrowsing/who-will-be-the-2026-democratic-can